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February 2003: Manhattan Office Space Update

In the past 30 days, Manhattan vacant office space increased by 1.93 million Rentable Square Feet (RSF). Out of this 1.93 million RSF, 1.18 million of it is Class A office space. Major amounts of “Shadow Space” loom (Shadow space is space vacated by major corporations who have not yet listed the space for rent as doing so would require them under the tax laws to recognize the loss in the current year). Estimates of Shadow Space are 5,000,000 feet with more space pending unless the economy picks up soon.

The downtown market is active with many firms looking to take advantage of the downtown incentives/benefits. The following link shows the net effective cost of renting space there. http://listings.downtownny.com/cust/dwalli/calculator/incentivescalc.asp

Midtown landlords are the most aggressive they have been in 10 years. Landlords are offering to build to suit, free architects to do space planning and layouts, and temporary space if needed in conjunction with a long-term lease. Couple these with incredibly favorable rents and lease terms, and it is obvious landlord’s are doing whatever it takes to make deals happen.

Harlem is hot. Many not-for-profits are seeking space in East, Central and West Harlem and Washington Heights. Given the limited supply, expect rental prices to be as high as other markets in Manhattan.

Please feel free to contact us for more detailed pricing information.

MARKET TREND OBSERVATIONS
OFFICE:
+ Total Market Vacancies fell from 47.43 million RSF to 47.05 million RSF, while Class A Vacancies fell from 26.14 million RSF to 25.69 million RSF.
+ Total Market Vacancies fell as the decline in Total Direct Lease space from 33.29 million RSF to 32.79 million RSF outweighed the rise in Total Sublease vacancies from 14.14 million RSF to 14.26 million RSF.
+ Total Direct Lease space availability fell from 33.29 million RSF to 32.79 million RSF, while Total Sublease vacancies rose from 14.14 million RSF to 14.26 million RSF.
+ The fall in Total Market vacancies was a result of a decline in vacant space Downtown, where availability fell from 12.82 million RSF to 12.14 million RSF. Midtown and Midtown South both saw increased availabilities as vacant space increased from 24.4 million RSF to 24.59 million RSF and 10.21 million RSF to 10.33 million RSF respectively.
+ Total Vacant Space in Midtown continued to rise as Total Direct Lease space increased from 16.4 million RSF to 16.53 million RSF and Total Sublease vacancies increased to a new high of 8.06 million RSF.
+ The increase in Total Vacant Space in Midtown South was due to a rise in Direct Lease Space from 7.11 million RSF to 7.32 million RSF. During the same period Total Sublease Vacant Space actually fell to a new low of 3.01 million RSF.
+ While Total Direct Lease vacancies declined from9.78 million RSF to 8.94 million RSF, Total Sublease vacancies rose from 3.04 million RSF to 3.20 million RSF, leading to an overall decline in vacant space downtown from 12.82 million RSF to 12.14 million RSF.
RETAIL:
+ Total Retail vacancies fell from 0.48 million RSF to 0.44 million RSF.
+ Midtown Retail vacancies declined from 0.16 million RSF to 0.12 million RSF
+ Midtown South saw a slight increase in availability as Total Vacant Space rose from 0.28 million RSF to 0.29 million RSF
+ Downtown Retail vacancy rates remained unchanged
INDUSTRIAL:
+ Total Industrial vacancy rates remained unchanged in all three market segments.
SELECTED AMAZING DEALS:
Building Address
Size
Price
1330 Sixth Avenue. Hi end Installation. Motivated credit sublessor.
16,250
$25
1675 Broadway High floor with panoramic views, high end installation and credit sublessor.
16,759

$35
32 Old Slip. Amazing Hi quality installation. Good credit sublessor.
17,298
$18
Empire State building subleases too many to units to list all.
2,000-40,000
$20
444 Broadway. Hi end loft installation Recent hi end loft installation.
7500-30,000
$18
590 Madison Avenue. Dramatic Central Park Views recent installation, top credit subtenant.
13,599
$45
City Spire 156 West 56 Beautiful subleases renovated units with furniture and phones
4,604-21,399
$25-33
 OFFICE
CLASS A (In Millions of Rentable Square Feet)  
 
Vacant Space
 
Available now and in the next two years
 
Direct
Sublease
Total
% Vacant
% Monthly Change
 
Direct
Sublease
Total
% Vacant
% Monthly Change
Midtown
9.96
6.47
16.43
5.50%
9.10%
8.73%
 
21.62
8.92
30.54
0.39%
Midtown South
0.92
0.38
1.30
9.10%
12.90%
-14.40%
 
0.92
0.55
1.47
-7.47%
Downtown
6.15
2.25
8.41
11.80%
16.10%
-0.89%
 
8.25
3.79
12.04
-0.70%
Total
17.04
9.10
26.14
7.00%
10.70%
4.48%
 
30.79
13.26
44.05
-0.17%
 
TOTAL MARKET (In Millions of Rentable Square Feet)
 
Vacant Space
 
Available now and in the next two years
 
Direct
Sublease
Total
% Vacant
% Monthly Change
 
Direct
Sublease
Total
% Vacant
% Monthly Change
Midtown
16.40
8.01
24.40
6.90%
10.20%
6.44%
 
30.22
11.46
41.68
2.02%
Midtown South
7.11
3.10
10.21
11.70%
16.90%
3.33%
 
8.58
3.80
12.37
1.91%
Downtown
9.78
3.04
12.82
13.10%
17.20%
0.13%
 
12.33
4.82
17.15
-0.59%
Total
33.29
14.14
47.43
8.90%
12.70%
4.07%
 
51.12
20.08
71.20
1.37%
 
RETAIL (Total Market)
 
Vacant Space
  Available now and in the next two years
  Direct Sublease Total % Vacant Direct % Vacant Total   Direct Sublease Total
Midtown
0.16
0.01
0.16
20.60%
21.70%
 
0.23
0.01
0.24
Midtown South
0.24
0.04
0.26
29.00%
33.90%
 
0.44
0.05
0.46
Downtown
0.04
0.00
0.04
27.40%
27.40%
 
0.05
0.00
0.05
Total
0.43
0.05
0.46
25.10%
28.00%
 
0.72
0.06
0.75
 
INDUSTRIAL (Total Market)
 
Vacant Space
 
Available now and in the next two years
 
Direct
Sublease
Total
% Vacant Direct
% Vacant Total
 
Direct
Sublease
Total
Midtown
0.51
0.00
0.64
39.70%
29.70%
0.73
0.03
0.76
Midtown South
0.23
0.04
0.26
16.60%
19.30%
 
0.27
0.04
0.31
Downtown
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
N/A
 
0.21
0.00
0.21
Total
0.73
0.07
0.80
15.20%
16.60%
 
1.22
0.07
1.28

MARKET TREND OBSERVATIONS
OFFICE:


+ Total Market Vacancies reversed their six-month decline, rising from 45.50 million RSF (Rentable Square Feet) to 47.43 million RSF, while Class A Vacancies rose from 24.96 million RSF to 26.14 million RSF. The increase in Total Market Vacancies was largely due to a rise in Total Direct Lease space from 31.51 million RSF to 33.29 million RSF.

+   Total Direct Lease space increased from 31.51 million RSF to 33.29 million RSF, while Total Sublease vacancies rose from 13.99 million RSF to 14.14 million RSF.

+   The increase in Total Market Vacancy was a result of a rise in space availability in all three market segments (Midtown, Midtown South and Downtown). Total Vacant Space in Midtown rose from 22.83 million RSF to 24.40 million RSF, while in Midtown South it rose from 9.87 million RSF to 10.21 million RSF and in Downtown available space rose slightly from 12.81 million RSF to 12.82 million RSF.

+   Total Vacant Space in Midtown rose as Total Direct Lease space increased from 15.37 million RSF to 16.40 million RSF. Total Sublease space increased from 7.46 million RSF to 8.01 million RSF.

+   The rise in Total Vacant Space in Midtown South was due to an increase in Direct Lease space from 6.67 million RSF to 7.11 million RSF.

+   While Total Direct Lease vacancies increased downtown from 9.48 million RSF to 9.78 million RSF, Total Sublease vacancies fell from 3.33 million RSF to 3.04 million RSF.
RETAIL:

+     Total Vacant Retail space fell from 1 million RSF to 0.46 million RSF.

+    In midtown Total Vacant Space declined from 0.24 million RSF to 0.16 million RSF.

+    Midtown South saw a slight increase in availability as Total Vacant Space rose from 0.26 million RSF to 0.28 million RSF.

+    Total vacant space Downtown declined dramatically from 0.5 million RSF to 0.04 million RSF.

INDUSTRIAL:

+ Total market vacancies fell as all three segments saw a decline in space availability.

+ Total Vacant space in Midtown fell from 0.64 million RSF to 0.54 million RSF.

+ In Midtown South, Total Vacant Space declined to 0.26 million RSF from 0.54 million RSF.

+ Downtown industrial vacancies fell to zero.
Total Market Vacancies reversed their six month decline, rising from 45.50 million RSF to 47.43 million RSF, while Class A Vacancies rose from 24.96 million RSF to 26.14 million RSF.

The increase in Total Market Vacancies was largely due to a rise in Total Direct Lease space from 31.51 million RSF to 33.29 million RSF.


Total Direct Lease space increased from 31.51 million RSF to 33.29 million RSF, while Total Sublease vacancies rose from 13.99 million RSF to 14.14 million RSF.

The increase in Total Market Vacancy was a result of a rise in space availability in all three market segments. Total Vacant Space in Midtown rose from 22.83 million RSF to 24.40 million RSF, while in Midtown South it rose from 9.87 million RSF to 10.21 million RSF and in Downtown available space rose slightly from 12.81 million RSF to 12.82 million RSF.

Total Vacant Space in Midtown rose as Total Direct Lease space increased from 15.37 million RSF to 16.40 million RSF and Total Sublease space increased from 7.46 million RSF to 8.01 million RSF.

The rise in Total Vacant Space in Midtown South was due to an increase in Direct Lease space from 6.67 million RSF to 7.11 million RSF.

While Total Direct Lease vacancies increased downtown from 9.48 million RSF to 9.78 million RSF, Total Sublease vacancies fell from 3.33 million RSF to 3.04 million RSF.

Total Vacant Retail space fell from 1 million RSF to 0.46 million RSF, as vacant space declined in both Midtown from 0.24 million RSF to 0.16 million RSF and in Downtown from 0.5 million RSF to 0.07 million RSF. Total vacant space in Midtown South increased slightly to 0.28 million RSF from 0.26 million RSF.

Total market vacancies fell as all three segments saw a decline in space availability. Total industrial vacant space in Midtown fell from 0.64 million RSF to 0.54 million RSF, while in Midtown South it declined to 0.26 million RSF from 0.54 million RSF, and in Downtown industrial vacancies fell to zero.
 
57 W 38th Street, 10th floor, New York, NY 10018    Tel: 212.258.2700    Fax: (212) 409-8846    info@optimalspaces.com