market research

February 2019

February 2019 New York Commercial Real Estate Market Report

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Manhattan Office:

Continued conversions and demolitions will inevitably lead to higher Office rents in Manhattan's older office buildings. New office prices will be tempered as 12,420,581 RSF of new construction and another 13,761,699 of proposed office buildings come to market.

Manhattan Retail:

Demand has picked up for retail as landlords have been adjusting prices to the market. Expect retail pricing to stay at current levels. This may change if additional national retailers restructure or declare bankruptcy.

Building Sales:

Manhattan sales market active again and sales volume is up $50 Billion, a 35% increase over previous year. Chinese owners are now net sellers.

New York Market Overview

  • Total Manhattan Class A Office vacancies decreased from 10.7 % vacant to 9.1 % vacant
  • Total New York City Office vacancy increased from 8.0 % vacant to 8.3 % vacant
Office rental prices in Class B, C and F buildings are rising, as the existing stock is being demolished to convert to residential, hotels or new office buildings. You can expect rents in those buildings to rise 20-30% over the next 2-3 years.

Manhattan’s office-leasing sector recorded 32.4 million square feet worth of deals last year, its best showing since 2000. Though demand was tempered by 12,420,581 RSF of new construction and another 13,761,699 proposed. There is an additional 1,314,000 RSF under renovation.

Average office rents remained flat as year-over-year, coming in at $73.33 per square foot. Midtown South average rent was $81.50 up 13% over 2017. Midtown and Downtown rents declined as new construction came on the market, to $78.37 and $60.60.





Proposed Office Buildings:
50 Hudson Yards 2,900,000
2 World Trade Center 2,800,000
270 Park Ave 2,500,000
385 9th Ave 1,950,140
3 Hudson Blvd 1,900,000
511 W 35th St 950,000
185 Broadway 212,960
123-131 W 23rd St 186,562
799 Broadway 182,000
1241 Broadway 140,834
75 Nassau St 39,203
Total Proposed 13,761,699
Under Construction Office Buildings:
66 Hudson Blvd 2,850,000
30 Hudson Yards 2,600,000
400 W 33rd St 2,216,609
1 Vanderbilt Ave 1,732,955
390 Ninth Ave 767,000
425 Park Ave 705,244
441 9th Ave 700,000
57 11th Ave 263,835
159 E 53rd St 220,000
40 Tenth Ave 156,938
644 E 14th St 115,000
100 E Broadway 93,000
Total Under Construction 12,420,581
Under Renovation Office Buildings:
550 Madison Ave 850,000
149 Madison Ave 127,000
671-677 Eighth Ave 72,038
15 E 57th St 54,888
405-409 W 13th St 45,271
53-55 Beach St 43,136
30-32 Howard St 42,407
1165 Broadway 41,095
250 Fifth Ave 38,185
Total Under Renovation 1,314,020
Demolition- Office Buildings:
270 Park Avenue 1,300,000
1841 Broadway 114,000
Conversion Office to Residential:
17 Battery Park 480,000
Total Office Space Lost 1,894,000

Manhattan Retail:


New York’s Fifth Avenue retail rent has been falling for several years. Last year there was a 24% decline.

Manhattan Building Sales:


New York City’s investment-sales market broke its two-year slide in 2018, with deal volume growing by a third on the year to about $50 billion. The five boroughs recorded $49.1 billion worth of sales in 2018.

New York City’s investment sales market snapped a two-year decline last year, climbing 35% to nearly $50 billion.

A mere 7% of industrial space was vacant in the fourth quarter of 2018, the lowest that vacancy rate has dropped since 2000.
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